中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所“中国循环经济与环境评估预测中心”创新团队组建于2013年。团队的主要任务是研究中国循环经济发展的理论与实践，经济新常态下宏观经济发展的趋势及其给循环经济发展带来的机遇与挑战，为国家制定生态文明建设和发展循环经济的战略与政策提供理论与应用研究支持，编撰《中国循环经济发展报告》。研究循环经济发展的微观模式与制度和政策需求。团队成立以来，先后对中国过去十年循环经济发展的制度与政策进行了全面总结和评价，对十三五循环经济发展战略和政策需求进行了分析评估，为地方政府、产业园区和企业进行了大量规划与国家试点实施方案研究，完成了《中国循环经济发展报告2013-2014》的编撰工作。本报告从新常态提出的国内外背景出发，对中国“经济新常态”的话语内涵演变、经济学理论基础和实践背景进行了深刻分析。报告认为，中国“经济新常态”是中国经济发展进人转型阶段和改革进入到新的阶段的一种新的“市场经济常态”。为保持在新的经济常态下实现经济的稳定持续增长，报告提出了以加快实施全面改革战略应对改革红利缩水、以实施创新驱动发展战略应对生产力红利缩水、以创造人才资源红利应对人口红利消失、以实施循环经济战略应对资源环境红利消失、以实质性城市化战略应对城市化红利缩水、以实施新兴产业与制造业升级战略应对结构红利消失、以实施服务贸易崛起战略应对净出口红利消失等七大战略性对策。

The innovation team of the "China Circular Economy and Environmental Assessment and Prediction Center" of the Institute of Quantitative and Technical Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences was established in 2013. The main task of the team is to study the theory and practice of China's circular economy development, the trend of macroeconomic development under the new normal of the economy and the opportunities and challenges it brings to the development of circular economy, provide theoretical and applied research support for the national formulation of strategies and policies for the construction of ecological civilization and the development of circular economy, and compile the "China Circular Economy Development Report". Study the micro-model and institutional and policy needs of circular economy development. Since its establishment, the team has successively summarized and evaluated the systems and policies of China's circular economy development in the past ten years, analyzed and evaluated the strategies and policy needs of the 13th Five-Year Circular Economy Development, conducted a large number of planning and national pilot implementation plan studies for local governments, industrial parks and enterprises, and completed the compilation of the "China Circular Economy Development Report 2013-2014". Starting from the domestic and international background of the new normal, this report provides an in-depth analysis of the evolution of the discourse of China's "new economic normal", the theoretical basis of economics and the practical background. The report believes that China's "new economic normal" is a new "market economy normal" in which China's economic development has entered a new stage of transformation and reform. In order to maintain stable and sustained economic growth under the new economic normal, the report proposes to accelerate the implementation of the comprehensive reform strategy to cope with the shrinking of the reform dividend, to implement the innovation-driven development strategy to cope with the shrinking productivity dividend, to create a human resource dividend to cope with the disappearance of the demographic dividend, to implement the circular economy strategy to cope with the disappearance of the resource and environmental dividend, to respond to the shrinkage of the urbanization dividend with the substantive urbanization strategy, and to respond to the disappearance of the structural dividend by implementing the strategy of upgrading emerging industries and manufacturing. Seven strategic countermeasures, including the implementation of the strategy of the rise of trade in services and the disappearance of net export dividends.（AI翻译）

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