摘要：中国对越南直接投资起步较晚，但发展迅速，2017年中国已成为越南的第四大外资来源国。目前中国对越南投资主要集中于加工制造业，并分布在河内、胡志明市、岘港和海防四大直辖市以及广宁、同奈等重要省份。中国经济实力的崛起与当前国际经济秩序的新变化、中越之间密不可分的经济社会联系以及两国内部政治环境、政策支持与改革契机为中国对越南投资创造了难得的优势与机遇。但未来开展投资也可能面临一些问题与挑战，包括越南劳动力与地租等成本优势的不可持续性，该国内部相关配套条件发展尚不完善，中越双边关系演变的不确定性，大国地缘政治竞争制约中国影响力的发挥，以及其他投资来源地的“先入”优势所产生的竞争压力等。未来双方可以通过启动中越自贸协定的研究与谈判，改善中国对越南投资的行业结构，扩大政府高层沟通渠道为中国企业对越南投资的活动护航，加强两国金融合作以弥补越南金融市场短板，与日本、韩国、新加坡等国在越南开展第三方市场合作，为中国对越南投资创设更加良好的前景。

关键词：“一带一路”倡议；越南经济；外国直接投资（FDI）；中越经贸合作

Abstract：China’s FDI into Vietnam started late at the turn of the 21 ^st century but developed rapidly.It has become the fourth FDI source country of Vietnam in 2017，following Japan，South Korea and Singapore.China’s FDI mainly flows into Vietnam’s manufacturing industry and locates in Hanoi，Ho Chi Minh，a Nang，Haiphong，Quang Ninh and Dong Nai.China’s rise in economy and the present international economic situation offers some opportunites for China’s FDI in Vietnam.Besides，the close ties in economy and society between China and Vietnam，the policy supports from both governments，Vietnam’s political stability and its reform in state-owned enterprises are all beneficial for China’s transnational corporations to invest in Vietnam.On the other hand，there are also some problems and risks that China’s FDI in Vietnam will probably face，which include the unsustainability in Vietnam’s production cost advantages，some deficiencies of inflow investment conditions in Vietnam，the instability of Sino-Vietnam relations，the geopolitical contest between powers in the area and the competitive pressure from other FDI source countries.A better prospect of China’s FDI to Vietnam may be created in the future through starting China-Vietnam FTA negotiation，improving the industry structure of China’s investment in Viet-nam，expanding dialogue and communication between the governments，strengthening the two countries’ financial cooperation，and developing third-market cooperations with Japan，South Korea and Singapore in Vietnam，etc.

Key Words：The“Belt and Road”Initiative，Vietnam’s Economy，Foreign Direct Investment（FDI），Economic Cooperation between China and Vietnam

暂无简介

用户未登录无权限查看参考文献