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中国经济增长质量与地区差距

ISBN:978-7-5161-9224-5

出版日期:2016-10

页数:282

字数:280.0千字

点击量:5968次

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本书从效率和生产率视角研究中国经济增长质量、绿色发展及地区差距问题,探讨中国经济增长的速度、效率、结构与效益之间的关系,以期达到在稳增长中提升质量效益,在低碳转型中推动绿色发展,在促进改革中实现区域协调发展的目的。本书主要包括三个方面的内容:一是中国经济增长质量研究。采用SFA方法测算经济增长效率,考察对外经济开放度、金融发展、人力资本、人力资本结构等因素对经济增长效率的影响。二是中国绿色经济绩效研究。从区域、产业等不同视角,采用绿色GDP估算、SBM-Undesirable模型、ML生产率指数等多种研究方法对节能减排约束下的中国绿色经济绩效进行分析。三是中国地区经济差距研究。主要研究中国地区经济差距的演变轨迹及其来源分解问题。

研究发现:(1)中国经济增长质量亟待提高。中国经济发展具有“高投入、高增长、高能耗、高排放、低效率”的特征,仍属于资本和能源双重驱动的粗放型经济增长方式,生产率水平及其对经济增长的贡献整体偏低,亟待提高经济增长质量,促进经济发展方式转变;人力资本对经济增长效率的影响存在显著的滞后效应,在人力资本结构中,接受过高等教育的人力资本对经济增长效率改善具有较大的促进作用,FDI和对外贸易对经济增长效率改善具有显著的促进作用,引进外资和发展对外贸易没有使中国成为“环境污染天堂”;技术进步与结构变迁作为促进经济增长的两大“引擎”应该交互作用,在未来的经济增长中继续发挥积极作用。(2)中国绿色经济绩效不容乐观。中国经济取得高速增长的成就是以资源消耗、环境污染为代价的,不考虑资源环境约束会高估生产率及其对经济增长的贡献,从而对中国经济增长方式做出较为乐观的判断,中国要实现绿色发展任重道远。(3)中国地区经济差距明显。中国经济增长质量区域差异明显,呈现“东部地区—东北老工业基地—西部地区—中部地区”阶梯递减趋势,但这种区域差异正在逐步缩小;改革开放以来,中国地区经济差距的演变轨迹已由“U”形转化为倒“N”形,1990年和2003年是两个拐点;要素投入仍是造成中国地区经济差距的主要原因,但其作用在减弱,而TFP在地区经济差距中的作用在逐步增强,能否较好地实现效率改进和技术进步,将成为今后各地区增长差异的重要力量。

关键词:经济增长 经济增长质量 技术效率 全要素生产率 地区差距

This book studies the quality of China's economic growth, green development and regional disparities from the perspective of efficiency and productivity, and discusses the relationship between the speed, efficiency, structure and benefit of China's economic growth, so as to achieve the purpose of improving quality and efficiency in stable growth, promoting green development in low-carbon transformation, and achieving coordinated regional development in promoting reform. This book mainly includes three aspects: First, a study on the quality of China's economic growth. The SFA method was used to measure the economic growth efficiency, and the impact of factors such as economic openness, financial development, human capital, and human capital structure on economic growth efficiency was investigated. The second is China's green economy performance research. From different perspectives such as regional and industrial perspectives, various research methods such as green GDP estimation, SBM-Undesirable model, and ML productivity index were used to analyze China's green economy performance under the constraints of energy conservation and emission reduction. The third is the study of China's regional economic gap. This paper mainly studies the evolution trajectory of China's regional economic gap and its source decomposition. The study finds that: (1) The quality of China's economic growth needs to be improved. China's economic development has the characteristics of "high input, high growth, high energy consumption, high emissions and low efficiency", and is still an extensive economic growth mode driven by both capital and energy, and the overall productivity level and its contribution to economic growth are low, and it is urgent to improve the quality of economic growth and promote the transformation of economic development mode. In the structure of human capital, human capital with higher education has a greater role in promoting the improvement of economic growth efficiency, FDI and foreign trade have a significant role in promoting the improvement of economic growth efficiency, and the introduction of foreign capital and the development of foreign trade have not made China a "paradise for environmental pollution"; Technological progress and structural change, as the two "engines" of economic growth, should interact and continue to play an active role in future economic growth. (2) China's green economy performance is not optimistic. China's achievements in rapid economic growth have come at the cost of resource consumption and environmental pollution, and failure to consider resource and environmental constraints will overestimate productivity and its contribution to economic growth, so as to make a more optimistic judgment on China's economic growth mode, and China has a long way to go to achieve green development. (3) China's regional economic gap is obvious. The regional differences in the quality of China's economic growth are obvious, showing a decreasing trend of "eastern region - old industrial base in northeast China - western region - central region", but this regional difference is gradually narrowing. Since the reform and opening up, the evolution trajectory of China's regional economic gap has changed from a "U" shape to an inverted "N" shape, and 1990 and 2003 were two inflection points; Factor input is still the main cause of China's regional economic gap, but its role is weakening, and the role of TFP in regional economic gap is gradually increasing, and whether efficiency improvement and technological progress can be better achieved will become an important force for the future growth difference between regions. Keywords: economic growth, quality of economic growth, technological efficiency, total factor productivity, regional disparities(AI翻译)

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引文

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GB/T 7714-2015 格式引文
朱承亮.中国经济增长质量与地区差距[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2016
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MLA 格式引文
朱承亮.中国经济增长质量与地区差距.北京,中国社会科学出版社:2016E-book.
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APA 格式引文
朱承亮(2016).中国经济增长质量与地区差距.北京:中国社会科学出版社
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