2010年1月1日，中国—东盟自由贸易区全面建成。这是中国对外建立的第一个自由贸易区，体现了中国在积极参与多边贸易体系的同时，努力加强与周边国家开展区域经济合作的原则。本书的研究将扩展性贸易边际与自由贸易区内不变贸易成本、可变贸易成本相联系，通过实证得到的结论包括：中国出口企业异质性较大，出口行为主要集中在规模大、生产率高的少部分企业；2003—2008年，中国对东盟5国的出口增长主要依靠集约性的贸易边际，即中国出口的贸易增长来源于原有贸易品量的增加和已有出口企业规模的增大。如何通过自贸区深度一体化战略，增强中国出口增长扩展性贸易边际的作用，是下一步理论研究和政策探索的重要问题。中国—东盟自由贸易区的实践为中国同其他国家和地区的区域经济合作提供了有益的经验借鉴。

The process of Economic Integration accelerates the merge of different countries in order to maximize the benefits and to realize best allocation of resources.January 1st，2010，China-ASEAN Free Trade Area officially starts and initiates.China-ASEAN Free Trade Area is the third largest economic integration organization around the world and it contains largest number of population.It is constructed by mainly developing countries，including almost 1.9 billion customers，and its aggregate GDP reaches 6 trillion dollars and total trade volume is 4.5 trillion dollars.The construction of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area will foster the regional economic integration development.This is the first FTA for China which plays an important part in the strategy of China's participation in regional economic cooperation.The establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area could accumulate the experience for other FTA negotiations.2009 global financial crisis leads to the dump of China's export，which shows the weakness of single and concentrated export destination distribution.Moreover，the over reliance on intensive margin of trade growth and unreasonable trade construction make the trade income is vulnerable to fluctuation and business cycle.In addition，solely increasing the trade income by intensive margin—the increase of trading volume and quantity could deteriorate the trade condition.China is a big exporter of commodities，in order to take great advantage in global competition，gain steady increase in trade income and improve trade condition，the measures taken by the regional economic integration are necessary and will be helpful.Since ASEAN is an important trade partner to China，the construction of Free Trade Area could be helpful to realize the diversification of export destination，improving the model of trade growth.How to utilize the opportunity of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area in order to accelerate the change of China's export construction;how to utilize the measures of trade liberalization by the sign of bilateral agreements in order to guarantee the steady increase of China's export income are what we focus in this book.The book mainly contains six chapters.Chapter 1 is the introduction，which mainly introduces the background of the thesis，the core problems need to be solved and the analysis framework.The innovations and methods are also included in this part.Chapter 2 reviews the literatures and summarizes the relative theory，including the traditional trade creation and trade diversification effects.The review especially focuses on the firm heterogeneity trade model which lays a ground for the later discussion and analysis.Chapter 3 conducts the fact of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area bilateral trade.Change of trade growth，trade construction and trade direction after China-ASEAN Free Trade Area could be detailed described by statistical data.Especially this chapter focuses the discussion of the fact that China's export to ASEAN countries showing the characteristic of two margin—intensive margin and extensive margin.The pattern of trade growth reveals different features among trade partners and throughout the discussion time span.Chapter 4 offers theoretical model supporting the whole study.The heterogeneity firm trade model combines the micro-level differences between exporting firms with macro-level national characteristic.The variable trade cost，fixed trade cost and the index of firm heterogeneity are all taken into consideration for explanation of extensive margin of trade growth.Chapter 5 utilizes the STATA、EVIEWS and ACCESS and panel econometric method to do the empirical test.The empirical study shows the test results are highly unanimous with the judgment and conclusion summarized by the statistics analysis.The study estimates the effect of two margins by different influencing factors individually.Chapter 6 basically makes a comment and evaluates the achievement after the establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area.The author makes a clear judgment of developing pattern of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area and points out the promotion for trade facilitation negotiation could be a key issue for its long-term steady development and improvement.Relating measures should be taken into force in order to foster the bilateral cooperation further. Key Words:China-ASEAN Free Trade Area;Trade Growth;Intensive Margin;Extensive Margin

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［135］陈诗阳:《中国—东盟自由贸易区:理论、现状和政策建议》，《亚太经济》2003年第3期。

［136］陈雯:《东盟区域贸易合作的贸易效应研究》，博士学位论文，厦门大学，2002年。

［137］陈雯:《中国与东盟双边贸易关系评析》，《当代亚太》2008年第3期。

［138］东艳:《南南型区域经济一体化能否促进FDI流入?——中国—东盟自由贸易区引资效应分析》，《南开经济研究》2006年第6期.

［139］樊瑛:《国际贸易中的异质企业:一个文献综述》，《财贸经济》2008年第2期。

［140］樊瑛:《新新贸易理论及其进展》，《国际经贸探索》2007年第12期。

［141］樊瑛:《异质企业贸易模型的理论进展》，《国际贸易问题》2008年第3期。

［142］冯力、孙健:《加快中国—东盟自由贸易区建设的意义、问题及对策思考》，《东南亚之窗》2009年第1期(总第10期)。

［143］宫占奎、孟夏、刘晨阳:《中国与东盟经济一体化:模式比较与政策选择》，中国对外经济贸易出版社2003年版。

［144］洪联英、罗能生:《出口、投资与企业生产率:西方贸易理论的微观新进展》，《国际贸易问题》2008年第7期。

［145］洪联英、罗能生:《全球生产与贸易新格局下企业国际化发展路径及策略选择——基于生产率异质性理论的分析方法》，《世界经济研究》2007年第12期。

［146］侯铁珊、宋岩:《中国与东盟贸易相关指数分析》，《国际贸易问题》2005年第7期。

［147］黄绥彪、李季骏、赵乐为、陈锐:《中国—东盟投资所面临的金融问题分析——中国—东盟投资便利化的金融对策研究之二》，《广西大学学报》(哲学社会科学版)2007年第5期。

［148］黄绥彪、李季骏、赵乐为、陈锐:《中国对东盟投资便利化的金融对策——中国对东盟投资便利化的金融对策研究之三》，《广西大学学报》(哲学社会科学版)2007年第6期。

［149］赖明勇、谢锐:《中国—新加坡自由贸易协定的背景、内容及影响》，《国际经贸探索》2009年第8期。

［150］李建伟:《中国对东盟直接投资的策略选择》，《东南亚纵横》2008年第10期。

［151］李坤望、黄玖立、施炳展:《中国与主要贸易伙伴的双边贸易自由度——基于新经济地理学的一个衡量》，《世界经济文汇》2006年第4期。

［152］李坤望、黄玖立:《中国贸易开放度的经验分析:以制造业为例》，《世界经济》2006年第8期。

［153］李荣林、宫占奎、孟夏:《中国与东盟自由贸易区研究》，天津大学出版社2007年版。

［154］李众敏:《东亚地区贸易自由化的福利影响及前景展望》，《世界经济与政治》2007年第1期。

［155］李众敏:《中国区域贸易自由化战略研究》，《世界经济》2007年第8期。

［156］刘晨阳、于晓燕:《亚太区域经济一体化问题研究》，南开大学出版社2009年版。

［157］刘曙光、竺彩华:《中国—东盟相互投资:特点、问题与前景》，《国际经济合作》2004年第12期。

［158］鲁晓东、李荣林:《中国对外贸易结构、比较优势及其稳定性检验》，《世界经济》2007年第10期。

［159］潘向东、廖进中、赖明勇:《制度因素与双边贸易:一项基于中国的经验研究》，《世界经济》2004年第5期。

［160］钱学锋:《企业异质性、贸易成本与中国出口增长的二元边际》，《管理世界》2008年第9期。

［161］钱学锋、梁琦:《测度中国与G－7的双边贸易成本——一个改进引力模型方法的应用》，《数量经济技术经济研究》2008年第2期。

［162］钱学锋、熊平:《中国出口增长的二元边际及其因素决定:经验研究》，《经济研究》2010年第1期。

［163］史智宇:《中国—东盟自由贸易区贸易效应的实证研究》，博士学位论文，复旦大学，2004年。

［164］苏振东、周玮庆:《我国对东盟的出口贸易结构及其变迁——基于产品技术附加值分布的贸易结构分析法和变系数面板数据模型的动态分析》，《国际贸易问题》2009年第3期。

［165］王娟:《中国与东盟国家服务贸易现状、结构与竞争力研究》，《亚太经济》2008年第2期。

［166］王粤:《合作新机遇:中国—东盟服务贸易分析》，《国际经济合作》2005年第4期。

［167］徐春祥:《贸易一体化条件下区域一体化组织模式——基于“异质”结构成员的研究》，《亚太经济》2008年第4期。

［168］许宁宁:《中国与东盟十五年经贸合作综述》，《今日中国论坛》2007年第Z1期。

［169］张波、郭连成:《中国与新西兰双边贸易的发展及签署FTA的经济效益》，《国际经济合作》2008年第8期。

［170］张帆:《建立中国—东盟自由贸易区贸易与投资效应分析》，《国际经贸探索》2002年第5期。

［171］张宏、蔡彤娟:《中国—东盟自由贸易区的投资效应分析》，《亚太经济》2007年第2期。

［172］张琳:《中国—东盟自由贸易区构建对区内贸易的影响》，《东南亚纵横》2008年第2期。

［173］张琳:《中国—东盟自由贸易区经济效应分析》，硕士学位论文，南开大学，2005年。

［174］张琳:《中国—东盟自由贸易区经济效应分析——引力模型的应用》，《亚太经济》(专刊)2008年第6期。

［175］张琳、宫占奎:《关于中国服务贸易发展的思考》，《经济问题》2009年第10期。

［176］张天顶:《出口、对外直接投资与企业的异质性研究》，《南方经济》2008年第3期。

［177］赵伟、李淑贞:《出口与企业生产率:由实证而理论的最新拓展》，《国际贸易问题》2007年第7期。

［178］庄芮:《中国—东盟自由贸易区的实践效应、现存问题及中国的策略》，《世界经济研究》2009年第4期。

［179］左锋:《中国—新西兰FTA的贸易互补性和贸易效应分析》，《黑龙江对外经贸》2009年第2期。